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Research Working Papers

Posted chronologically, these links contain electronic publications and data that are related to AIC research areas, in many cases providing detailed and technical analysis of an important research issue.

• A Framework for Assessment of California Agroecosystems
  Tom Tomich, Kelly Garbach, Canter, Agricultural Sustainability Institute, UC Davis (pdf, 2400 kb, 2007)
  
  
• Clusters of Grapes and Wine
  Rolf A.E. Mueller, Daniel A. Sumner and James T. Lapsley. (April 2008, pdf, 140 kb) This article considers application of a clusters approach to the California wine industry.
  
  
• Modeling Agroecosystem Services for Policy Analysis
  John Antle, Department of Agricultural Economics and Economics, Montana State University  (pdf, 190 kb, 2007)
  
  
• Evaluating Regulation and Conservation Policy for California’s Agri-environmental Externalities
  Nicolai V. Kuminoff,   Department of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Virginia Tech. (pdf, 575 kb, 2007)
  
  
• Using Biophysical Information in Policies for Agroecosystem Services in California
  Louise Jackson, Department of Air, Water, and Land Resources, UC Davis (pdf, 440 kb, 2007)
  
  
• Public Funding for Research into Specialty Crops (pdf, 342kb, May 2007)
  This paper considers public funding for R&D directed to specialty crops. Specific questions to be addressed include whether R&D for specialty crops has been underfunded, both in absolute terms and relative to other crops and agriculture more generally.
  Authors: Julian M. Alston and Philip G. Pardey
  
  
• The Effects of Market Power on the size and Distribution of Benefits from the Ethanol Subsidy ( 2007, pdf, 220kb). Tina L. Saitone, Richard J. Sexton and Steven E. Sexton. This paper develops a model for determining the production and price impacts and distribution benefits from the U.S. ethanol subsidy when upstream sellers in the seed sector and downstream buyers in the processing sector may exercise market power.

• Effects of Milk Marketing Order Regulation on the Share of Fluid-Grade Milk in the United States (2007) by Joseph V. Balagtas, Aaron Smith, and Daniel A. Sumner. Forthcoming in AJAE. This study presents an econometric model that exploits regional and temporal variation in policy implementation to identify the effect of marketing orders on the grade A share of milk.
  
  
• Domestic Support and Border Measures for Processed Horticultural Products ( 2007) by Bradley J. Rickard and Daniel A. Sumner. This study models reform of agricultural policies that apply to different stages along the vertical supply chain and show the importance of even limited input substitution between raw materials and other inputs.
  
  
• Traceability, Liability, and Incentives for Food Safety and Quality (pdf)
  Daniel A. Sumner and Sébastian Pouliot. This paper provides information about suppliers that allows application of liability for food safety or other product quality problems. Revised July 2007.
  
  
• United States South Korea Free Trade Agreement: What it Would Mean for California Agriculture (pdf, 508kb, March 2007) by Hyunok Lee and Daniel A. Sumner. This study provides detailed information and analysis of the potential effects of a South Korea United States Free Trade Agreement for California Agriculture on a commodity-by-commodity basis.
  
  
• Aggregate Costs and Benefits of Government Invasive Species Control Activities (pdf, 163kb,September 2006) Daniel A. Sumner, Henrich Brunke and Marcia Kreith. Proceedings of The International Conference on the Future of Agriculture: Science, Stewardship, and Sustainability, August 7-9, 2006.
  
  
• Hurricanes and Invasive Species: the Economics and Spatial Dynamics of Eradication Policies (pdf, 76kb)
  Albert K.A. Acquaye, Julian M. Alston, Hyunok Lee, and Daniel A. Sumner.
  This paper examines the economic impacts of citrus canker in oranges and the eradication policy in Florida, taking into account the relationship between costs and benefits of eradication and the spatial and dynamic aspects of infestation.
  Chapter 7 in A.G.J.M. Oude Lansink (Ed.), New Approaches to the Economics of Plant Health. Springer Publishing, Forthcoming in: March 2007.

• Effects of U.S. Upland Cotton Policies on Upland Cotton Prices and Quantities (pdf, 308kb, Nov. 2006) by Daniel A. Sumner. This study uses a log linear equilibrium displacement model to simulate the effects of removing U.S. cotton subsidy programs on U.S. production, U.S. exports and world prices of cotton.
  
  
• Are Agricultural Policies Making Us Fat? Likely Links between Agricultural Policies and Human Nutrition and Obesity, and Their Policy Implications (pdf, 240kb, Fall 2006) by Julian M. Alston, Daniel A. Sumner, and Stephen A. Vosti. This paper addresses the likely effects of agricultural subsidies on obesity both in the United States and abroad.

• Effects of Price Premiums for Multiple Product Attributes on Product Quality: California Processing Tomatoes (pdf)
  Corinne Alexander, Rachael E. Goodhue, Sandeep Mohapatra, and Gordon C. Rausser examine how growers respond to price incentives and how these incentives interact for two important processing tomato quality attributes: limited use tomatoes and material other than tomatoes.
  
  
• Political Market Power of Milk Producers Reflected in U.S. Milk Pricing Regulations (pdf)
  This paper assesses the political market power of milk producers relative to buyers in two ways.
  
  
• Wine in China (pdf)
  Scott Rozelle, Daniel A. Sumner and Jikun Huang. The project summarizes a year of work researching China's wine economy. The study examines the horticultural and wine economy in China, and California's wine relationship with China.
  
  
• Does 7 to 9 a day pay? The Economic Benefits to Fruit and Vegetable Industries Should People Consume the USDA Recommendations (pdf)
  Karen M. Jetter, James A. Chalfant, and Daniel A. Sumner. This article estimates the economic impact on fruit and vegetable industries in the U.S. from an increase in consumption to levels recommended in the Dietary Guidelines for Americans 2005. This study represents the first attempt to quantify the effect on growers who could expect to gain from such an increase.
  
  
• Domestic Support and Border Measures for Processed Horticultural Products: Analysis of EU Tomato Protection and Subsidies (pdf)
  Bradley J. Rickard and Daniel A. Sumner. This paper examines the effects of domestic support applied to a non-traded farm-produced commodity together with border measures applied to value-added products in the processed tomato industry.
  
  
• EU Support of its Processing Tomato Industry and the Competitive Consequences for California (pdf)
  Bradley J. Rickard and Daniel A. Sumner. This article models and measures the impacts on global markets and on the California industry of potential reductions of import barriers and subsidies established for the processing tomato industry in the European Union.
  
  
• Mediterranean Agriculture in the Global Marketplace: A Project Comparing Policy Approaches in California and the Southern EU States (pdf)
  Lee Ann Patterson and Tim Josling. This project explores the similarities and the differences in the policies influencing the market for five key Mediterranean commodities. The commodities are olives (including table olives and olive oil), grapes (including table grapes, wine and raisins), tree-nuts (primarily almonds), citrus (primarily oranges), and tomatoes (including fresh and canned tomatoes).
  
  
• Bee-conomics and the Leap in Pollination Fees (pdf)
  Daniel A. Sumner and Hayley Boriss. According to entemologists and other experts, pollinators available to service California agriculture has fallen steadily. At the same time, demand for pollination services has risen. This article examines the forces behind these market adjustments and some of the consequences for California agriculture.
  
  
• Economic Impact of the Canadian Cattle and Beef Industry of a Disruption of Exports of Boxed Beef to the United States (doc)
  Daniel A. Sumner and José Bervejillo. This report evaluates the potential damage to the Canadian cattle and beef industry if legal challenges were to halt exports of boxed beef from Canada to the United States in the near future. August 2005.
  
  
• A Factbook About our Agricultural Working Landscapes (pdf, 8.76mb)
  Edited by Alvin D. Sokolow, John Speka and Jeff Woled. Community Studies Extension, University of California, Davis. October 2004, 34 pages.
  
  
• Evaluation of Quality Testing for California Pistachios (pdf, 133kb)
  This study discusses the economic rational for an industry's collective action and presents the federal marketing order for California pistachio as an example. If further details the process and requirements for establishing of a marketing order.
  Authors: Julian M. Alston, Henrich Brunke, Richard S. Gray, and Daniel A. Sumner.
  Chapter 14 in H. Kaiser, J.M. Alston, J. Crespi, and R.J. Sexton (eds). Commodity Promotion Programs in California: Economic Evaluation and Legal Issues. Peter Lang Publishing (2005).
  
  
• Industry-Mandated Testing to Improve Food Safety: the New US Marketing Order for Pistachios (pdf, 79kb)
  This study investigates the federal marketing order and outlines how collective action in the form of a marketing order can serve as a useful tool to ensure a safe food product and increase benefits to producers and consumers.
  Authors: Henrich Brunke, Julian M. Alston, Richard S. Gray, and Daniel A. Sumner.
  German Journal of Agricultural Economics. Special Issue on Food Quality, Incomplete Consumer Information and the Role of Markets and the State. (2004).
  
  
• Analyzing Vertical Market Structure and Its Implications for Trade Liberalization and Market Access (pdf)
  A working paper by Sexton, R.J., I. Sheldon, S. McCorriston, and H. Wang. University of California, Davis, June 2004.

• A Multinomial Logit Framework to Estimating Bid Shading in Procurement Auctions, With Application to Cattle Sales in the Texas Panhandle (pdf)
  by Crespi, J.M. and R.J. Sexton. Working Paper, University of California, Davis, June 2004.

• Analysis of a Supply-Control Program Under Uncertainty and Imperfect Competition: Chinese Cabbage in Taiwan (pdf)
  Huang, S-Y, R.J. Sexton, and T. Xia. Working Paper, University of California, Davis, August 2004.


• Supermarket Fluid Milk Pricing Practices in the Western United States (pdf)
  Paper by Carman, H.F. and R.J. Sexton. Agribusiness, (2004).

• An Alternative Natural Beef Production System (pdf)
  A Differentiation Strategy for California Producers and Packers by Ricardo Verazza Paganini. ARE Update No. 8, Vol. 1, Sept./Oct. 2004. University of California Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics.

• Trends in U.S. Fresh Produce Marketing (pdf)
  PowerpPoint presentation by Roberta Cook, Keynote Speaker, California Fresh Produce and Floral Council, Oakland, California, September 13, 2004.
  Value-added (fresh-cut produce) is emphasized.


• Explaining Disparities in the Cost of Healthier Foods (ppt)
  Slides from a presentation by Karen M. Jetter and Diana L. Cassady at the American Agricultural Economics Associationmeetings in Denver, Colorado, August 2, 2004.

• International Approaches to the Labeling of Genetically Modified Foods (pdf)
  Paper by Colin A. Carter and Guillaume P. Gruere, March 2003.
  
  
• The Effects of the Northeast Dairy Compact on Producers and Consumers, with Implications for Compact Contagion
  Paper by Joseph V. Balagtas and Daniel A. Sumner published in the Spring/Fall 2003 volume of the Review of Agricultural Economics.
  
  
• United States' Agricultural Systems: An Overview of U.S. Dairy Policy (pdf)
  Paper by Daniel A. Sumner and Joseph V. Balagtas published in the Encyclopedia of Dairy Sciences, (2002).
  
  
• The Influence of Commodity Programs on Acreage Response to Market Price: With an Illustration Concerning Rice Policy in the United States (pdf)
  Paper by Sumner, Daniel A.and Jeffrey D. MacDonald. August 2002.
  

• Risk and Returns to Policy-Created in a Portfolio Context: California Dairy Quota (pdf)
  Paper by Daniel A. Sumner and Norbert L. W. Wilson. March 2002.
  

• An Economic Survey of the Wine and Winegrape Industry in the United States and Canada. (pdf)
  Paper by Daniel A. Sumner , Helene Bombrun, Julian M. Alston, and Dale Heien
  Revised draft December 2, 2001
  
  
• International Trade Policy and Negotiations (pdf)
  This chapter for the Handbook of Agricultural Economics, by Daniel A. Sumner and Stefan Tangermann, looks at the history, results and analysis of international negotiations on agricultural trade, with an emphasis on the GATT and in particular on the Uruguay Round.
  

• Modeling Farmland Conversion with New GIS Data (pdf)
  Nicolai V. Kuminoff and Daniel A. Sumner use an analytical and econometric approach, and new GIS data, to analyze the farmland conversion process, including the effects of the agricultural-urban edge, farm returns, real estate markets, population growth, and development restrictions.
  
  
• Modeling Farmland Conversion with New GIS Data (pdf)
  Slides from the presentation by Nicolai V. Kuminoff at the annual meetings of the American Association of Agricultural Economists, Chicago, August 7, 2001.

• An Analysis of the Private Costs and Benefits to Californians from Eating the USDA Recommendations for Fruits and Vegetables (pdf)
  Karen M. Jetter, James A. Chalfant, and Daniel A. Sumner discuss the potential costs and benefits to producers and consumers in California, should Californians increase their intake of fruit and vegetables to meet recommendations for a cancer prevention diet. July 2001.

• California Agriculture 2001: Trends and Issues (pdf)
  Slides from a presentation by Daniel A. Sumner to the California Chapter of the American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers, April 27, 2001.

• The Agricultural Issues Center's Winegrape Outlook Workshop III (html)
  This site contains papers and abstracts from the workshop held in Oakville, California, October 25, 2000.

• The Agricultural Policy Outlook (pdf)
  Slides from the presentation by Joseph W. Glauber on the U.S. agricultural policy outlook, October 26, 2000.

• Agricultural R&D, Technological Change, and Food Security (pdf)
  Paper presented by Julian M. Alston at the International Association of Agricultural Economists Workshop on Food Security, Berlin, August, 2000. Also available in pdf format are slides from his presentation.

• Agricultural Trade Policy and Food Security (pdf)
  Paper presented by Daniel A. Sumner at the International Association of Agricultural Economists Workshop on Food Security, Berlin, August, 2000.

• Agriculture in an E-Commerce World (html)
  This site contains presentations and background material from the UC Executive Seminar "Agriculture in an E-Commerce World," held December 4th, 2000 in Sacramento, California and co-hosted by the Agricultural Issues Center and the UC Center for Cooperatives.

• Agriculture in Urbanizing Communities (pdf)
  Outline of the presentation given by Alvin D. Sokolow to the USDA Policy Advisory Committee on Farmland Protection during the listening session at UC Davis.

• Analysis of Yield and Revenue Insurance for California Vegetables (pdf)
  Outline from the Presentation by Nicolai V. Kuminoff to the Western Growers Association on July 26, 2000 (revised from a project by Corinne Alexander and Nicolai V. Kuminoff).

• The Canadian Wheat Board: Its Role in North American State Trading (pdf)
  Paper by Colin A. Carter and R.M.A. Loyns presented at the North American Forum: Workshop on the Role of the State in International Trade. November 1998.

• Contracts, Quality, and Industrialization in Agriculture: Hypotheses and Empirical Analysis of the California Winegrape Industry (pdf) Paper by Rachael E. Goodhue, Dale M. Heien, Hyunok Lee and Daniel A. Sumner, revised December 25, 2000.
  

• Economic Impact of Eutypa on the California Wine Grape Industry (pdf)
  Appendix 1 (pdf) Appendix 2 and 3 (pdf)
  Draft report by Jerome B. Siebert that estimates the economic impact of Eutypa which is one of the most common canker diseases of grapevines in California. September 15, 2000.
  
  
• Economic Reform and the Changing Pattern of China's Agricultural Trade (pdf)
  Paper by Colin A. Carter and Xianghong Li presented at the June 1999 International Agricultural Trade Research Consortium: China's Agricultural Trade and Policy: Issues, Analysis and Global Consequences.
  

• The Effect of the Northeast Dairy Compact on Producers and Consumers, with Implications of Compact Contagion (pdf)
  Paper by Joseph V. Balagtas and Daniel A. Sumner, 2000.

• Ex ante Economics of Exotic Disease Policy: Citrus Canker in California (pdf)
  Draft paper by Karen M. Jetter, Daniel A. Sumner and Edwin L. Civerolo, prepared for presentation at the Conference: “Integrating Risk Assessment and Economics for Regulatory Decisions,” USDA, Washington, DC, December 7, 2000.

• Farmland, Urbanization, and Agriculture in the Sacramento Region (pdf)
  A paper prepared by Alvin D. Sokolow and Nicolai V. Kuminoff for the Capitol Region Institute,Sacramento Regional Futures Compendium. This paper uses recent data on land use, agricultural production and population growth to discuss the future of agriculture in the Sacramento Region.

• Food Security Papers and Briefing Materials (html)
  This site contains brief papers discussing world food security. They are written by scientists from multiple disciplines and universities.
  

• German Wineries on the Web: A Survey of Web Sites of Mosel-Saar-Ruwer and Pfalz Wineries (pdf)
  Paper by A. Bernert and S. Stricker that reports results of a survey of web sites by wineries from the Mosel-Saar-Ruwer and Pfalz regions in Germany.
  

• The Potential Economic Effects of Red Imported Fire Ants in California (pdf)
  Paper by Karen Jetter, Jay Hamilton and John Klotz that estimates the costs to households, agriculture, and wildlife from the spread of the red imported fire ant, a newly introduced pest into California, throughout the state.

• Importing STEs in Korea and Japan: Evolution, Operation, and Implications (pdf)
  Paper by Jung-Sup Choi, Daniel A. Sumner and JooHo Song presented at theNorth American Forum: Workshop on the Role of the State in International Trade. November 1998.

• The Role of Domestic Market Price Regulations in International Trade: the Case of Dairy Policy in the United States (pdf)
  Paper by Daniel A. Sumner presented at the November 1998 North American Forum: Workshop on the Role of the State in International Trade.
  
  
• The Role of the State in Agricultural Trade in North America: The U.S. Commodity Credit Corporation as a Government Actor in the North American Market for Grains (pdf)
  Paper by Daniel A. Sumner and Tim Josling presented at the November 1998 North American Forum: Workshop on the Role of the State in International Trade.